{"id":441,"date":"2022-10-04T23:13:51","date_gmt":"2022-10-04T23:13:51","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/fcyajans.com\/?p=441"},"modified":"2023-07-04T08:55:58","modified_gmt":"2023-07-04T08:55:58","slug":"strucnjak-tvrdi-da-bi-rat-mogao-zavrsiti-nezamislivim-scenarijem-ako-putin-padne-nato-ce-se-naci-u-sukobu-s-drugom-mocnom-silom","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/alpsevimlisoyyatirim.com.tr\/tr\/net-hr\/strucnjak-tvrdi-da-bi-rat-mogao-zavrsiti-nezamislivim-scenarijem-ako-putin-padne-nato-ce-se-naci-u-sukobu-s-drugom-mocnom-silom\/","title":{"rendered":"Stru\u010dnjak tvrdi da bi rat mogao zavr\u0161iti nezamislivim scenarijem: ‘Ako Putin padne NATO \u0107e se na\u0107i u sukobu s drugom mo\u0107nom silom’"},"content":{"rendered":"

‘Ukrajinci imaju zamah – oni pobje\u0111uju. Ali ovaj sukob ne\u0107e samo zavr\u0161iti tako \u0161to \u0107e obje strane oti\u0107i i re\u0107i ‘to je to’, on \u0107e odjeknuti u cijeloj Rusiji i regiji’<\/span><\/p>\n

Nakon \u0161to je objavio djelomi\u010dnu mobilizaciju te anekatirao okupirane ukrajinske regije, ruski predsjednik Vladimir Putin zaprijetio je i uporabom nuklearnog oru\u017eja onima koji mu se usude stati na put.<\/span><\/p>\n

Me\u0111utim, \u0161to bi se moglo dogoditi ako Rusija u ovome ratu bude pora\u017eena? Na to pitanje poku\u0161ao je dati odgovor Alp Sevimlisoy iz Atlantic Councila u razgovoru za MailOnline.<\/span><\/p>\n

Kako Sevimlisoy tvrdi, poraz Rusije zna\u010dio bi svrgavanje Putina, raspad same Rusije te sukob izme\u0111u NATO-a i Kine oko ‘podjele plijena’. Sevimlisoy ide i dalje, tvrde\u0107i da se “Zapad mora po\u010deti pripremati za tu mogu\u0107nost, ina\u010de \u0107e otvoriti vrata Pekingu da prodre u regije kao \u0161to su Sibir, sredi\u0161nja Azija, Afrika i Ju\u017ena Amerika, gdje ve\u0107 ima prednost, ali \u0107e vidjeti i prilike kako ruska mo\u0107 blijedi”.<\/span><\/p>\n

“Moramo u\u0107i u vakuum, potruditi se izvr\u0161iti utjecaj, a zatim se moramo suo\u010diti s Narodnom Republikom Kinom. Kina je globalno povezana supersila i moramo se u\u010dinkovito boriti protiv nje”, ka\u017ee ovaj suradnik think thanka, ina\u010de stru\u010dnjak za nacionalnu sigurnost za Tursku i NATO, sa sjedi\u0161tem u Istanbulu.<\/span><\/p>\n

Rusija dobila te\u017eak udarac<\/span><\/p>\n

Ovaj scenarij u velja\u010di je jo\u0161 zvu\u010dao nezamislivo, ka\u017ee Sevimlisoy. Smatra da je malo tko na Zapadu mislio da je mogu\u0107a pobjeda Ukrajine, no onda je uslijedio niz pogre\u0161nih procjena Putina i njegovih generala. Munjevito napredovanje prema Kijevu – na koje je Putin ra\u010dunao kako bi sru\u0161io re\u017eim i predao mu kontrolu nad zemljom u roku od nekoliko dana – se usporilo, a zatim zaustavilo i kona\u010dno kulminiralo “gestom dobre volje” tj. potpunim povla\u010denjem, a Kremlj se usmjerio na “osloba\u0111anje” Donbasa.<\/span><\/p>\n

Unato\u010d tome \u0161to su \u0161iroka podru\u010dja isto\u010dnog industrijskog sredi\u0161ta Ukrajine beskrajno prikladnija za rusku taktiku – razorno topni\u010dko bombardiranje pra\u0107eno sporim napredovanjem trupa i tenkova – problemi su i dalje postojali. Napredovanje se ponovno usporilo, a zatim uglavnom zaustavilo. Ukrajina je tada zadala razoran udarac: napad na Herson na jugu, ubrzala potpuni poraz i vratila tisu\u0107e \u010detvornih milja pod kontrolu Kijeva u roku od nekoliko dana. Rusija je dobila te\u017eak udarac.<\/span><\/p>\n

‘Kako se vratiti me\u0111u ljude nakon poraza?’<\/span><\/p>\n

Govore\u0107i neposredno nakon \u0161to je Ukrajina pokrenula svoj protunapad na Harkov, Sevimlisoy je rekao: “Ukrajinci imaju zamah – oni pobje\u0111uju. Ali ovaj sukob ne\u0107e samo zavr\u0161iti tako \u0161to \u0107e obje strane oti\u0107i i re\u0107i “to je to”, on \u0107e odjeknuti u cijeloj Rusiji i regiji.”<\/span><\/p>\n

A to, prema Sevimlisoyu, zna\u010di da ruska mo\u0107 nestaje ne samo u Ju\u017enoj Americi i Africi – gdje je ranije slala pla\u0107enike, davala zajmove i gradila infrastrukturu – nego i u biv\u0161im sovjetskim satelitskim dr\u017eavama poput Kazahstana, Gruzije i Armenije, vjeruje on. I sama bi Rusija mogla podle\u0107i unutarnjim sukobima, s pobunjeni\u010dkim regijama koje se \u017eele otrgnuti kontroli Moskve dok se mo\u0107nici unutar Kremlja okre\u0107u jedni protiv drugih i bore za Putinovo prijestolje.<\/span><\/p>\n

Iako su se izgledi za Rusiju bez Putina mo\u017eda nekada \u010dinili te\u0161ko zamislivima, Sevimlisoy vjeruje da gotovo ne postoji na\u010din da ruski predsjednik pre\u017eivi poraz u Ukrajini. “Ne vidim budu\u0107nost za Putina [ako izgubi rat]. Kako se nakon ovoga vratiti svojim ljudima? Nakon \u0161to hranu i energiju pretvorite u oru\u017eje, kako se nakon toga vratiti na svjetsku pozornicu?”, zaklju\u010duje Sevimlisoy.<\/span><\/p>\n

 <\/p>\n

Alp Sevimlisoy originally featured as per: NetHR<\/strong><\/a><\/p>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

‘Ukrajinci imaju zamah – oni pobje\u0111uju. Ali ovaj sukob ne\u0107e samo zavr\u0161iti tako \u0161to \u0107e obje strane oti\u0107i i re\u0107i ‘to je to’, on \u0107e odjeknuti u cijeloj Rusiji i regiji’ Nakon \u0161to je objavio djelomi\u010dnu mobilizaciju te anekatirao okupirane ukrajinske regije, ruski predsjednik Vladimir Putin zaprijetio je i uporabom nuklearnog oru\u017eja onima koji mu […]<\/p>","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":1289,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[23],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-441","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-net-hr"],"acf":[],"yoast_head":"\nStru\u010dnjak tvrdi da bi rat mogao zavr\u0161iti nezamislivim scenarijem: 'Ako Putin padne NATO \u0107e se na\u0107i u sukobu s drugom mo\u0107nom silom' - Alp Sevimlisoy Yat\u0131r\u0131m<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/alpsevimlisoyyatirim.com.tr\/tr\/net-hr\/strucnjak-tvrdi-da-bi-rat-mogao-zavrsiti-nezamislivim-scenarijem-ako-putin-padne-nato-ce-se-naci-u-sukobu-s-drugom-mocnom-silom\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"tr_TR\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"Stru\u010dnjak tvrdi da bi rat mogao zavr\u0161iti nezamislivim scenarijem: 'Ako Putin padne NATO \u0107e se na\u0107i u sukobu s drugom mo\u0107nom silom'\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"‘Ukrajinci imaju zamah – oni pobje\u0111uju. 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